Hurricane Sandy, a tropical cyclone occurring in October 2012, started life off the coast of West Africa. View Comments. A powerful Hurricane Iota made landfall on the coast of Nicaragua late Monday, sparking warnings of a life-threatening storm surge and flash flooding in a region recently battered by Hurricane Eta. The compliance rate for hurricane warnings can also be unacceptably low. Hurricane SANDY Advisory Archive. Hurricane-force winds extend some 175 miles in every direction of the center. The public perceived the “downgrade” from hurricane status as a lessening of the storm’s intensity, when in fact the storm was intensifying. On this day, the National Weather Service increased its prediction to 6 to 11 feet of surge, plus up to 5.5 feet of tide – meaning a potential storm tide 11.5 to 16.5 feet high, plus waves. So it will be less dangerous.”. The “superstorm” killed more than 100 people, destroyed thousands of homes and businesses, and left millions without food, water, electricity, sanitation, or shelter for days or even weeks. Indeed, However, other areas like Kings Point, NY, were spared devastating floods because the surge came ashore at low tide, reducing the potential peak water elevation by 7 or 8 feet. No one explained that these 90+ mph winds at a full-moon high tide were driving storm surges and waves that together could total a wall of water. Bloomberg’s update was fatal for many. It would have been pretty bad to put up a hurricane warning, everybody starts evacuating, and then in the middle of the event, the warnings come down. In the New York Times, a reporter wrote this article using dramatic diction to emphasize the hype of the hurricane that is nearing. Meteorologists warning people about Hurricane Sandy is like the watchmen warning people that Jesus Christ is coming back and that the rapture could be at any moment. At least in terms of having more options, not necessarily that we would do it differently next time, but at least having more options so we could potentially do it differently in whatever scenario that the atmosphere throws at us that we can't even envision right now. They need to explain this. It's certainly not something you see every year. In the USA, schools and public buildings along the East coast were closed in order to prepare for the impact of Hurricane Sandy. Communicating surge levels to the public is meaningless in the absence of reference points. Mayor Bloomberg related the storm and tide surge correctly, but ordered evacuation only for low-lying areas (and not even for nursing homes). The fact that the National Weather Service did not issue hurricane warnings as deadly and devastating Superstorm Sandy roared ashore last October … at 11:30 am, advising: “This is a massive storm. But even as Sandy bore down on the metropolitan area, presenting the region with its biggest natural threat in decades, they bungled their responsibilities. So that was one reason why we elected not to put them up in the first place, because the only thing worse would have been to put them up and then take them down. Saturday Night Live later mocked the governor in its opening sketch, for employing such blunt language when ordering the evacuations. What to Read Next. Then finally the only other option we would have had was to, despite it being post-tropical for a day or so before landfall, to -- for lack of a better term, fake it -- call it a hurricane for a day or more before landfall. Just offshore Cuba, Sandy rapidly intensified to a Category 3 hurricane, with sustained winds at 115 mph (185 km/h) and a minimum central pressure of 954 millibars (28.2 inHg), and at that intensity, Sandy made landfall just west of Santiago de Cuba at 0525 UTC on October 25. Displaying confusion and incompetence, and issuing storm warnings that further confused matters and downplayed the storm’s dangers, NYC leaders, NOAA, and the National Hurricane Center put people at grave risk, all but ensuring that people would die needlessly when the Sandy made landfall at 8:02 pm on Monday, October 29, 2012. Businessweek More About "hurricane" How to Handle a Crisis Thu September 22, 2011, 6:30pm EDT How Incredible Are the Homes of… On Oct. 23, a Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning were in effect for Jamaica, and a tropical storm watch was in effect for Haiti. On this day, the NHC 8:00 am update for the first time said the storm was expected to bring “hurricane force” winds and “life-threatening storm surge to the Mid-Atlantic coast, including Long Island Sound and New York.” While the Center still would not call Sandy a hurricane, it did stress that “winds affecting the upper floors of high-rise buildings will be significantly stronger than those near ground level.” What this might portend in terms of flying glass and furniture the NHC did not say. Unfortunately, Sandy’s Atlantic City, NJ landfall was a worst-case scenario, as it aligned New York Harbor with the more intense “right wall” winds that saw the maximum push of water hit simultaneously with a spring (full-moon) high tide – adding another 5.5 of water, plus waves on top of the surge. The Times had a strong story on the front page Wednesday under a headline that says a great deal: “For Years, Warnings That It Could Happen Here. When coastal tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings are in effect, the NHC and CPHC issue Tropical Cyclone Public advisories every 3 hours. Get out.” The evacuation of the Jersey shore with its largely seasonal and less dense population is generally less problematic than for the New York Metro area, but Christie effectively used State Police to reassure the public that looting would be controlled. However, this was not accurately or succinctly explained. Interviews of residents under mandatory evacuation for Andrew and Hugo, both Category 4 hurricanes, revealed that only 42% evacuated their homes. Sandy actually had more forward speed than Irene when it made landfall. There have been hurricanes that have been more powerful, but they never got land bound, and stayed out in… Yet another case study on how CYA politics seeks to perpetuate ignorance while capitalizing upon Baptist/Bootlegger flimflamery. And a surge of 11-12 feet may occur at the Battery Monday evening…. The storm may strengthen as it meets the cold front approaching from the northwest, and that’s when it changes from a tropical storm to a nor’easter, which has very big implications for those areas to the west of us and to the north of us…. Tropical Storm/Hurricane Sandy sparked discussion on the possible need for changes in storm forecast and warning communication. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom) Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid claimed “The people of New Orleans and that area, they were hurt, but nothing in comparison to what happened to the people in New York and New Jersey.” That too is nonsense. Mayor Bloomberg issued another press release at 11:30 am, advising: “This is a massive storm. Advising Pharoah about feasts, famines, and the dynamics of the Nile weather on the basis of dreams fashioned by the true god was good business back then. With every model now saying the worst case scenario of surge and high tide hitting together – and NYC would see more flooding than at any time in modern history – he said the storm would primarily impact areas west and north of NYC. Sandy just posed the scenario where no matter what we were going to do, it was going to have the potential for confusing people. In particular, we must better understand the impacts associated with the sea level rise levels projected for the 2050s and beyond, since these are the most severe, yet also the most uncertain…. In reality, it was not less dangerous; nor was the NHC saying the storm surge would be any less dangerous. Now if you live on a coastline, you have to add to that the breaking waves. The NHC said the hurricane would “transition” before landfall, but with sustained winds of 70-80 mph (a hurricane is 74 mph) and storm surges unlike anything New York City had seen in 50-100 years. New York City hurricane evacuation zones are not linked on city maps to surge levels, but only to hurricane category. As Hurricane Sandy approached landfall along the coast of the northeastern U.S. in late October, the National Hurricane Center declined to issue hurricane watches and warnings for the New York and New Jersey coasts. Today's BT Daily asks whether Hurricane Sandy, which the US East Coast is experiencing as of this posting, could be a warning: The Forbes article that they cite states: "Earlier this year Hurricane Isaac hit New Orleans exactly 7 years to the day that Hurricane Katrina devastated the gulf coast in 2005. Sandy formed in the central Caribbean on October 22nd and intensified into a hurricane as it tracked north across Jamaica, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas. And now Bloomberg, Cuomo, Schumer ,and other politicians want to blame the catastrophe on climate change. Displaying confusion and incompetence, and issuing storm warnings that further confused matters and downplayed the storm’s dangers, NYC leaders, NOAA, and the National Hurricane Center put people at grave risk, all but ensuring that people would die needlessly when the Sandy made landfall at 8:02 pm on Monday, October 29, 2012. Hurricane warnings were issued in Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba, and the Bahamas. Sandy might have been far worse, had it repeated the 1938 “Express.” But there might have been fewer deaths, had proper warnings been issued by state and city government officials – and heeded by residents. That said, New Jersey’s response was not unblemished, as the NJ Transit Authority stored its trains in a known flood zone – and like New York, New Jersey historically has done little to mitigate storm effects, while also adopting planning policies that push more people and more expensive development into storm and flooding hazard areas. 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